The consequences of increasing wealth relief distribution

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Vermow respectively distribution as an opportunity? Part 2

In the first part (a paradox between warranting and increasing wealth relief distribution) of this three-part article series on the wedding respectively distribution was shown that a paradox exists between the self-regulating warrant compensation, which is derived from the theory of free labels, and the rising wedding respectively distribution. This paradox is not taken seriously by some representatives of the theory of free market and relativized. As a matter of principle, the theory of free market is acquitted and the problem increasingly assigned to other factors other than the market events. Thus, the theory of free market continues to be used as a flawless regulatory and economic reference.

In addition to the market theoretical tribulists, which do not interpret the continuously increasing wealth relief distribution as a fundamental disruption of market events, also reality-related market theorists who seriously take the paradox between the theoretical wealth equalization and empiricism. In doing so, soft doubts wide that something can not be voted on the theory of free market itself. And there are important important and practical questions in the foreground.

What will happen if flexibilization and privatization, the rising rising in increasingly real economic demand remain unimportant and remain in the financial sector, although interest rates are low? What will happen if the growing went in the financial sector and not the corporate sector will be provided as capital as investments in derivative financial products are increasingly profitable than real economic investments? What will happen when workplaces are always constructed slower, since in the corporate sector is invested too little? And what will happen if replacement investment in new machine systems are increasingly replacing expansion investments so that the productivity growth faster than the workplace structure?

After the long low interest rate phase in the EU, German companies had to. Swimming in liquiditat, 2. Your investment massively climb and 3. Building workplaces that brings the goal of full-time fiction. The risks of the financial sector are mitigated by the European stability mechanism. The European economy were delivered in low prices in unprecedented high. The policy of Troika drove the welfare state reduction, wage labor costs were minimized and market-compliant tax reforms for companies were decided. In short: the conditions for enterprise investments and for capitalization are market theoretically.

But economic growth of the FRG develops hardly after the historical burglary, despite all media jubilations of 2008. And it is even flattering in the long run.

Source: Eurostat

The real payroll growth of the last two decades (!) In the FRG remain tendencially at a low level. They are even phased-run. Thus, 2009 Karl Brenke wrote in the weekly report of the DIW Berlin Nr. 33/2009:

Net real teeth have barely risen in Germany since the beginning of the 1990s. From 2004 to 2008 they even returned, a development in the history of the Federal Republic, because never before went a very powerful economic growth with a reduction in the real net without several years. This is not a higher burden on payroll income by taxes and social security contributions, but also in international comparison – extremely weak increase in fees. This finding is all the more remarkable, as the qualification of the worked workers has increased on average, which was expected to be a significant increase in merits. In contrast to wage development, income from self-activity as well as capital-enhanced increased in recent years, so the employee fees make an increasingly smaller part of the national income.

And today is the little one "Sip from the wage powder" from the years 2010 to 2012 again at O. In 2013, the real wage index was even negative again.

Reallohnindex FRG. Graphic: Destasis

The working power management continues to rise and transforms into an open and concealed unemployment, coupled with increasing sub-employment in the form of a growing low-wage sector. 1991 still went 5.5 million. People of a part-time acquisition, so it was more than 9.5 million in 2000. And in 2010, the number grew to a proud 12.5 million.

This trend is also read on the growing number of mini jobbers. In 2003, the number of mini-jobber was still 5.5 million. And until today, she grew continuously. In 2013, then 7.45. Mio. Mini jobs registered.

And at the same time, the established workforce can hardly rescue before working prere. Wolfgang Hien writes in time:

Each third breakfast is done due to mental illness. The world of work is unhealthy: prere, stress, close room for maneuver, uncertainty and anxiety take dramatically. It is scientifically well examined that from the combination of unfavorable factors of the work situation and unfavorable person variables mental illnesses such as depression and burn-out can be created. This leads to immense economic costs. The Federal Association of Business Health Councils has examined that the unhealthy working conditions a year of 50 to 100 million euros arises. Apart from the suffering of the individual.

Germany’s risk of poverty risks increased in 2012 to 16.1%. And the investment behavior on the German company side will comment on the Federal Association of German Industry in its first economy report for 2014:

The macroeconomic investment ratio has fallen from 22 percent in 2000 to 18 percent in 2012. In individual industries, more is written off than invested. This is called: There is substance delay.

On the European level, it does not look better. A noteworthy economic upswing in Europe continues to remain after the burglary of the financial and global economic crisis 07/08 and the next recessionary thunderstorm is already attracting. In 2012, the EU GDP grew by -0.4% in the previous year and, in 2013, GDP changed to 0.1% for the previous year. In the euro area, PIB grew by -0.7% in 2012 in 2012. And in 2013 it grew compared to 2012 to a lot -0.5%.

Source: Eurostat

Unemployment in Europe rises in absolute terms since 2008 continuously:

Absolute unemployment in 1 000 overall; non-seasonally adjusted. Graphic: Eurostat

The lack of perspectiveness of the European youth is always obverter awakened:

Youth unemployment of the under 25-year-old in 1 000 in total . Graphic: Eurostat

The European poverty dazzel stands according to the Eurostat Press Release 184/2013 with 24.8% of EU population on record level. These are more than 120.000.000 Europe.

Measured by the rising private enhanced in the upper income classes and the available capital, which has been circulating in the capital markets for years, these testing steps of economic recovery are more alarm signals than success reports, although in recent decades, economic and social policy in the EU according to the rules of theory Free market was operated. So, if, despite continuously rising on the one side of the full-time workplace construction on the other hand, it is so sluggish and the theoretical amed wealth equalization does not occur, some politicians, companies, workers and expertise of EU burgers make themselves.

The continuously rising private mains have to be somewhere if they are not invested in real. A direct note where you are, the financial professor Marc Chesney delivers. He says:

The nominal value of all derivative financial products corresponds to around 12 times the global gross domestic product (GDP). That’s too much. If these products were used only as hedging, as provided in the textbookers, then they should make a share of perhaps 10 to 20 percent of GDP. But certainly not 1200 percent.

And as a convinced market theorist he says about the worldwide derivatives volume: "Yes, they demand more and more wealth for an ever smaller part of the population and creates more and more risks for the others – including the middle class."

In short, the opposite economic situation is some market theorists who recognize the continuously increasing wealth relief distribution as part of a continuous economic structure crisis in which capital is more and more concentrated, suspect. Because continuously increasing wealth concentrations on the one hand and lack of investment in the corporate sector on the other side bring the market at some point completely to succumb.

The problem is that the rapid growth of derivative financial enhancies increasingly penetrate the repatriated real-dermogs and both forms as mixed financing in other wealthy equipment. In 2007, there were votes that claimed that the bursts of the securitized real estate and consumer loans of the US could not be overwhelmed on Europe. Finally, it is only for excretion book values. How much these "Book values" The remainder of the economy influenced, one could then also observe very vivid after the depreciation wave of these book values.

So you should not ame that the derivative financial enhancers that correspond to 12x of world GPIPs swim on the Realvermogen such as OL on the water. Both forms of warrants are now inseparably interlinked, so that the devaluation of derivative financial enhancies will drive the real-dermogs in evaluation shocks. The strategies of the Bad Banks also do not help anymore. The presentation of the European Commission, the lazy financial enhanced. Outlore in a shadow banking and 2. The lazy outsourced financial enhanced slowly offset without shocks, just let the air slow out of the balloon, is completely wrong. Above all, as the financial enhanced relevant worldwide rises again and the growth rates of the real economy leave behind. It can also be said: The real-dermogen always requires great shares from the derivative financial tax to be tantative for its competitive. For the securing and creation of new private workplaces, which depend on growth, this development is fatal.

Part 3 Them: The consumer loss and investment.

Why computer does not "Means of choice" are

For the US elections, the quirks of election computers are already a running gag, in Holland you can laugh far less. That even German elections already take place via computer, for the first time on 13. June 2004, most of the Federal Councilors did not become aware. But in principle, the computer-understood elections are not to protect against unnoticed manipulations.

How to assist a company?

With chuck: that works the fastest with women: That’s the most secluded with computers: That’s the safest!

This Burospreuch still comes from the time when computing with the ability of a simple calculator took rough, air conditioning regions. Today they still do the part, but then call servers, while the usual calculators and PCs stand on the desks and the companies can actually be based on – if they are suddenly no longer functioning. In the normal day of work, however, take a lot of work the Buroangstellten and ensure that these can not only do their job faster today, but also, as it was the case in time, comes from the above joke.

Where the old Kalauer is still up to date, is in politics: which candidate is gaining a choice is often enough a greeting, which is decided which politician is caught shortly before choice with women or worse in flagranti. And the computers can also choose a choice: on the one hand through the principal invoices, which after their tendency can lead to that, above all things in countries like the US, which contain different time zones, the election result sometimes shifts to prediction, because the trail of the seemingly underlying party quickly race into the polling stalks to prevent this, during the alleged winners already believe in having the profit in the box and therefore no longer make the kisser to visit the polling station.

Even simple and easy controllable: punch card

However, where the computers can also climb true problems, the choice is itself. While these in Germany until recently continued to do with a cross or several on one or more more or less coarse paper, which even undergone those who could only be limited to writing, was rationalized in America: the Wahler should be holeers in Punching cards punching, so that they could be paid directly after the choice and the election results were faster available. The Hollerite machines, once not used to election, but used for the public payment, are legend.

In principle, a hole in a punch card is not much different than a cross on a sheet of paper, if it is clear where to make the hole or cross. Ambiguities at this point in the US prasident election 2000 in Florida provided that these, with the George W. Bush came to power for the first time, until today is controversial. However, there were any doubts about the function of the election computers and since the time of mechanical punch cards or computers evaluated pencil strokes is now seemed to end, this also concerns Germany: The ballot of the Burger turns to the course of the future, for example via touchscreen monitor or gross , with the names of the candidates stored panels, on which the corresponding Knopfe is printed or names to touch.

That sounds quite comfortable at first glance. But the problems are very different: During an election analysis is difficult, if common ballots are paid among witnesses and also the entire handling of the notes to the payment under witnesses happens because for manipulation paper sheet or punch cards had to be made aside or added aside, can be made aside Nobody see what’s in the interior of a computer. If the welfler prints a specific button on this button, he’s, of course, he hopes that his voice is paid according to his wish. But in reality something else can happen – the voice can be twice, not or not attributed to another party. And even if everything has been done with the numbers with right things, the election results can still be turned off when reading – witnesses that see the bits in the store and on the line running, there are no.

Tic Tac Toe? chess!

In order to prevent such manipulations, the election computers usually do not operate under-gear operating systems such as Windows – Auber once again in the US in the tested Diebold electoral machines. In fact, your manufacturers often ame that on them on the election program nothing else can do – but then they were not a computer. These are always reprogrammable, what the Chaos Computer Club together with the Dutch group "Wij Verwouwen StemComputers Rivet" ("We do not trust election computers") with a particularly skilled chess train, by name, in addition to proof that in the case of election computers of the Fabrikat Nedap, which is also used in Germany, if not with a 100% identical model, the payment can be manipulated instead of the actual for The computer has recorded a chess program – not exactly a trivialitat.

To prevent this, then the EPROMs are sealed and the device is scurred, but there is always a way in the interior of a computer. Sometimes he does not even have to be inflated because the interfaces not only output the election result but also load programs because programs can be entered or activated via a service mode or certain keyboard shortcuts. Security measures should prevent this, but they are not met. Even the danger is when the data, which already there is already, are read wirelessly, for example via WLAN – here a manipulation is really no difficult exercise.

Even the electoral secrecy is no longer assisted with computers as they can be accidentally. And then, of course, the election result can also be faled by a simple device defect without Bose intention. If there are no physically visible items like ballots in the game, this is not readily recognizable, as it is a principal disadvantage of the cash card against cash: both can be stolen and both can not be recorded correctly if it is not recorded correctly Machine is used for payment, only in cash falls immediately when it remains stuck or the ad is not reacted, while the money card does not look at what is happening with it (the money-way card). In the US, there were several thousands of such trap and problems with the congress choice that has just taken place.

Secured and manipulated

In the case of the money card, at least relatively stimulated over so-called Shadow accounts can be determined, where missing money is left. For a polling computer, it is not really realizable with still as many test sums and countercuts, where missing voices have been left or voices were posted incorrectly. Primitive manipulations may be discovered and also certain types of technical failure, but in principle there is no 100% security: if the hardware ames simply when writing into the memory that another button has been printed than the one that chasted by the beam has been, this can not discover any pruisance of the world.

And what do you get lost with a crash, through which the same votes of the last hours or even the whole day are lost? Who can protect that members of a party do not false the choice that they make themselves in areas where typically a different party wins the choice, many voices disappear by making them – for example, by electrical discharges – bringing the election computers to crash or complete destroy? In contrast to a tendered ballot box of such not immediately visible

The argument, with which the punching cards were introduced, namely that the choice is filled in this way much faster, does not always apply to: Since election computers are not used every day, optional helpers are often not familiar with the operation and combat with technical malfunctions or simply to get the device on election day in good time and really get into progress. The election results MOGE at the end are actually improved, if everything worked. But if anything has not worked, it may take much more long to get the problem under control than if usual ballotes have to be paid a second time. And it is not possible, as in the elections, to pay a second time independently in other ways.

Paperbackup against crash?

Computers that print a protocol list as possible remedy. If the wahler gets this hand, he can check if the device has registered his election request correctly. However, he can not check whether this wish is actually stored correctly, or the device has been assigned by a manipulation of the software the voice internally assigned to another party. If the protocol slip is in an urn, so in the end could you also pay off the protocol lists instead of the computer data, but then the advantage of computer choice is logged up and as the only preference could be a possible easy operation and less paper consumption in the field. Similarly, the digital puncture pen is also classified.

However, the lower paper consumption is made more than destroyed by the increased technical effort – a environmental effect does not certainly do not occur if the ballot does not have four-digit candidate numbers. And with the simpler operation is a matter of taste, as the alter generation with a cross on a sheet of paper is still better clear than with the button chippling on any computers.

Even the cost arguments do not draw: even if fewer staff and fewer electoral helpers are needed, which usually work voluntarily anyway and thus no money cost, the financial expense for manufacture, installation and operation of the computers is significantly higher than the one, for each whale accordingly Provide a lot of paper, even if the computers can be used again in the next year and the paper notes do not. For even in electoral machines, the technique continues and after a few years after a renewal – otherwise the Hollerite machine with punch cards was still used today.

At least there is no internet voting…

That theoretically no one hundred percentage of security is possible, so you could live, but the possibility of manipulation has already been demonstrated in such a mass that you really have to ask why it is so important now, the centuries-based principle of vote with a cross on to replace a note through the button square on a computer. The only ones who were really interested here are the manufacturers of electoral machines and those who trust themselves to manipulate them. The Chaos Computer Club therefore occurs for a ban, as there are too many technical and organizational vulnerabilities.

An online petition to abolish the election computers, however, is not better than the controversial advised: The first version is more than 10.000 signers failed due to u-lasted database and also with the second version is not clear whether the payment works…

Double Standard: Trump Tweet of Last Year

After the riots in Washington: Trump has to expect the event with a prison sentence, as he once required it for such a trap? A comment

It was the unwelt US Prasident Donald Trump, the 27. July 2020 About Twitter demonstrators he "Anarchists, agitators or protesters" called, before "at least ten years in the prison" warned, you should shady federal state. Since the Twitter account of the ex-prasident is currently locked, the party European Parliamentarian Martin Sonneborn has a screenshot of the tweets to be tweeted.

In view of the storm of his arms on Parliament in Washington, to which Trump had called the crowd in practice, he had to be accused immediately for turmoil and a coup attempt (Liveticker for "coup attempt" In Washington). Everything specifies that Trump has worked purposes on the advances for weeks, (Trump in the end: is now the coup d’?) yes even months ago, when he fabulated before the vote of an electoral fraud.

Probably that will not happen. This is also the tentative approach to the violent troupe, which was obviously well planned. That those who have violently turned and pronounced Parliament, leaving it again, without being arrested, speaks as well as a clear language. It is stilier that only 52 people from the MOB were arrested, which was in part armed, even two pipe bombs were found.

The fact that Trump has tried everything to taste coarse damage at all levels has been significantly increased at the national and international bean. Therefore, everything had to be done to hunt him quickly from the office to avert further damage. He had to be immediately responsible for the foregoing rights. This is possible, as well as the British Guardian. Trump can go directly via the 25. Be deducted for extension due to authority. The process is much faster than a second empeachment procedure. The British newspaper also quotes the longitudinal rightliter Frank Bowman, who ames that Trump has one "Turmoil" have.

In fact, we have now seen a riot. He was violently raised. This is another process than in the region of Catalonia in northeastern Spain in autumn 2017. Catalan politicians and activists were even charged at the time for the establishment of election balances because of rebellion and has finally been convicted of turmoil to up to 13 years, but for the judge throughout Europe, however, there was no notice and therefore refused deliveries of exile Catalans (election brands peacefully , is now in Spain "revolt"To).

It is also clear that we have not even seen a rebellion in Washington, although one can speak of a coup attempt. Because even the use of war weapons were lacked by militars, as they were used at the coup attempt in 1981 in Spain, when the Guardia Civil was the Madrid Parliament stormed and tanks in the straws (the last coup in Europe).

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